Florent McIsaac

Economist, Climate Change Group at the World Bank

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Following presentation are recorded from 2019 on: 10/1/2019 — Presentation at the World Bank 03/07/19 — Presentation at Université de Poitiers Séminaire 01/16/19 — Presentation at the Fields Institute (co-organized with the OECD): 10 YEARS AFTER THE CRISIS – MODELLING MEETS POLICY MAKING

Presentations

03/16/2019 in Non classé by admin

Publications in French: 5/21/2018 — Changement climatique : comment limiter les dégâts pour l’économie mondiale ? 11/12/2018 — Retour sur la polémique autour du prix Nobel d’économie à William Nordhaus Publication in English: 9/24/18 — The fight against climate change: how can we limit the damage to the global economy? (Translated from the French version)

Press — The Conversation

01/02/2019 in Non classé by admin

Abstract: In this article, we design a phenomenological model of the global human population dynamics by using the gross world product (GWP) as an exogenous input variable to determine the birth rate and death rates of each age group. Using a historical fit, we show that our model accurately reproduces […]

WP – A simple phenomenological model of the world population ...

01/02/2019 in Non classé by admin

Abstract: This paper follows van der Ploeg (Metroeconomica 37(2):221–230, 1985)’s research program in testing both its extension of Goodwin (in: Feinstein (ed) Socialism, capitalism and economic growth, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 4, 54–58, 1967) predator–prey model and the Minsky Financial Instability Hypothesis (FIH) proposed by Keen (J Post Keynes Econ 17(4):607–635, 1995). By […]

MAFE – Minskyan classical growth cycles: stability analysis of a ...

01/02/2019 in Non classé by admin

Abstract: Mixing economic growth with low-carbon objectives entails multidimensional challenges among which a shift in employment and a rapid transformation of infrastructure are involved. The aim of this paper is to provide a data-driven analysis to strengthen our understanding of what a low-carbon economy for Brazil would mean. Ultimately, our […]

EP – An Input-Output Analysis: What Would a Low-Carbon Economy ...

01/02/2019 in Non classé by admin

Abstract: To what extent can a worldwide carbon pricing foster the transition towards a low-carbon economy and help mitigate the effects of global warming? We address this question using a stock-flow consistent, financial and non-linear macrodynamics with uncertainty, calibrated for the world economy. More precisely, we assess the macroeconomic impact […]

WP – Financial Impacts of Climate Change Mitigation Policies and ...

01/02/2019 in Non classé by admin

Abstract: This paper presents a macroeconomic model that combines the economic impact of climate change with the pivotal role of private debt. Using a Stock-Flow Consistent approach based on the Lotka–Volterra logic, we couple its nonlinear monetary dynamics of underemployment and income distribution with abatement costs. A calibration of our model at […]

IE – Debt and damages: What are the chances of ...

01/02/2019 in Non classé by admin

Abstract: In a stock-flow consistent macrodynamic model featuring two crucial endogenous destabilizing channels, debt accumulation and climate change, we perform a sensitivity analysis on four fundamental parameters of the climate and economic systems: (i) the climate sensitivity, (ii) the inertia of the carbon cycle, (iii) the labor productivity growth, and (iv) the share of damages sustained […]

EE – Coping With Collapse: A Stock-Flow Consistent Monetary Macrodynamics ...

03/29/2018 in Non classé by admin

Abstract: This paper follows Harvie (2000)’s research program in testing both Goodwin (1967)’s predator-prey model and the extension proposed byvan der Ploeg (1985). The author’s aim is to provide a guideline for the estimation and the backtesting strategy that can be applied to such a class of continuous-time macroeconomic model. The […]

WP – Testing Goodwin with a Stochastic Differential Approach – ...

02/03/2018 in Non classé by admin

Abstract: Recent talks claiming the necessity of austerity measures in France often take the unsustainibility of public debts as a starting point. In this analysis, we show that the current public debt levels in France are not a sufficient reason to undertake such austerity policies. To substantiate our claims, we […]

WP – La dette publique française justifie-t-elle l’austérité budgétaire ?

01/23/2017 in Working paper by admin